Citaat:
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Orgineel gepost door jan.dufraing
Maar of we hier nog iets aan kunnen veranderen is een andere vraag.
Persoonlijk denk ik dat we al te ver gevorderd zijn als de aarde echt zo vlug opwarmt als de onderzoekers beweren.
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Gelukkig voor ons is het 'point of no return' of 'tipping point' nog niet bereikt. Er is wel degelijk nog hoop, maar dan moet er wel dringend en wereldwijd een mentaliteitsverandering komen. Want binnen dit en 30 jaar zou dat point of no return wel eens bereikt kunnen worden...
Ik heb even moeten googlen, maar ik heb toch een artikel gevonden dat hier meer over weet te vertellen.
Climate change will reach point of no return in 20 years, says expert
The world only has 10 years to develop and implement new technologies to generate clean electricity before climate change reaches the point of no return - something the UK government failed to appreciate in its recent energy review, according to an expert.
Speaking at the British Association festival of science in Norwich yesterday, Peter Smith, a professor of sustainable energy at the University of Nottingham, said the UK had to embark on a strategy to reduce energy use by insulating homes better and encouraging more micro-generation schemes such as solar panels.
"The scientific opinion is that we have a ceiling of 440 parts per million [ppm] of atmospheric carbon before there is a tipping point, a step change in the rate of global warming," said Professor Smith. "The rate at which we are emitting now, around 2ppm a year and rising, we could expect that that tipping point will reach us in 20 years time. That gives us 10 years to develop technologies that could start to bite into the problem."
The current level of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere is 380ppm.
He said the government's recent energy review had failed to address the problem and had simply reiterated two long-held assumptions: that wind power should provide 15% of electricity by 2020 and that renewable energy alone could not fill the energy gap left by the decommissioning of nuclear and the demise of fossil-fuel power stations. The solution presented was to build a new generation of nuclear power stations.
"Astonishingly, the review pays hardly any regard to the principle energy asset which this country enjoys, namely its rivers, estuaries, coastal currents and waves," said Prof Smith. "Huge amounts of energy could be harvested using existing technologies, which could meet the nuclear shortfall several times over." A tidal energy barrage across the Severn river, for example, could have a peak output of around six gigawatts, more than 10% of the country's peak demand.
"The technology is robust, simple, it's basically a water-wheel," said Prof Smith. "To say it is too innovatory, which the government has done, is rubbish."
There are several sites around Britain with similar energy potential, including the Channel Islands, he said.
According to the Energy Savings Trust, homes in the UK have the potential to provide 40% of their own electricity using micro-generation."The ultimate goal for our homes is to make them near carbon-neutral and, at best, make them net contributors of clean energy," said Prof Smith. "In the long term, a combination of demand reduction and the full complement of renewables could make the UK virtually carbon free."
But he was not optimistic that the government would make these changes voluntarily. "What will overcome [government apathy] is when there's a two-metre rise in the Thames so that the House of Commons is under water," he said. "The tragedy is that there needs to be a fairly catastrophic event to motivate politicians to take action, [so] they feel confident that the public will vote for them next time."
The Met Office believes the Thames estuary is the most vulnerable place in northern Europe to major storm surges. The existing barrage could be overwhelmed at almost any time, and estimates suggest this could cause £30bn of damage to London and the surrounding areas.
Bron: http://www.guardian.co.uk/science/2...renewableenergy, 05/09/06